Predicting Prediction Research With Brent Stinski (1/20/2017)

MARKET RESEARCH COUNCIL, INC.

Luncheon Program

 

“Predicting Prediction Research”

With

 

Brent Stinski

Founder, Media Predict

Co-Founder, Future


Friday, January 20, 2017

12 Noon - 2:00pm

at the

The Yale Club of New York

 

In this luncheon presentation, Stinski will look at the state of one branch of predictive research, community forecasting, a field including prediction markets (like Predict It and the Iowa Electronic Markets), as well as predictive communities like the Good Judgment Project (as outlined in Philip Tetlock’s bestseller “Superforecasting”).

Issues to be addressed include:

·        What is community predictive research? We’ll look at prediction markets, predictive surveys, and more.

·        What’s the evidence? What are the strengths of these methods? (And if they are so wonderful, why didn’t they get the 2016 election right?) 

·        What’s the best way to think about community prediction? (Hint: the closer you look, the tougher it gets.)

·        What psychology are we tapping into when we ask study participants to predict – and what kind of research product does that generate? 

·        Community prediction and industry. Will there be a Moneyball moment, in which a client uses these methods to record disruptive business success? (Or, has this already happened?)

 

About Brent Stinski

Brent Stinski is the founder of Media Predict, a pioneering company using prediction markets to generate custom research, currently serving major media clients in the US, the UK, and India. Mr. Stinski founded Media Predict shortly after completing a PhD at Cambridge University, in which he studied the psychology of emotional response to art and entertainment.  In 2016 Mr. Stinski left Media Predict to found Future, a predictive casual game that will debut in mid-2017.

 

Please join us with a guest for what will be an informative presentation.

 

Luncheon Details:

Meeting date: Friday, January 20, 2017

 

Time: 12noon – 2:00pm

 

Where: Yale Club of New York, E. 44th St. & Vanderbilt Ave., 18th Fl.

 

Luncheon Fees:

(payment at the Door via Cash or a Check only) 

$60 – MRC Members

$75 – Guests

$50 - Honorary Life Members      

 

For Reservations: Call 212-481-3038 or Email to: mgmtoffice@mrcouncil.org

Reminder: MRC Active Members MUST ATTEND AT LEAST FOUR (4) luncheon meetings per program year to maintain their membership status.

 

2016-17 Winter/Spring Luncheon Dates

January 20, 2017

February 24        March 17

April 21                May 12

June 16

 



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